Betting intelligence

Expected value explained: why a 75% win rate can still lose you money
Mar
24
Betting intelligence

Expected value explained: why a 75% win rate can still lose you money

Win rate feels impressive. Expected value is what actually makes you money.
Todd Rogers
Todd Rogers
78% win rate…and barely profitable: the truth about NBA moneyline models
Mar
24
Betting intelligence

78% win rate…and barely profitable: the truth about NBA moneyline models

A look inside one of Moddy's NBA models — and what it reveals about why winning bets doesn't always mean making money
Todd Rogers
Todd Rogers
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